Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
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Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal (01:43:22)
(0:00) Bestie intros! Nick Shirley joins the show to discuss his recent investigation on potential daycare fraud in Minnesota (3:32) Nick's background, how he got into investigative reporting and YouTube, independence, finding this story (16:36) Why this fraud story is resonating, why the national press initially avoided it (30:08) Future plans, California, possible Al-Shabaab connection, how high up does Minnesota's fraud go? (49:15) What the scale of fraud means for America, Minnesota's future, potential patronage scheme (1:09:06) CA's wealth tax: normalizing the seizure of private property (1:33:56) Chamath breaks down the $20B Groq-Nvidia deal Follow Nick Shirley: https://x.com/nickshirleyy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/nickshirleyy/status/2004642794862961123 https://www.startribune.com/prosecutors-charge-5-people-in-a-minnesota-housing-fraud-scheme/601548944 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/29/us/fraud-minnesota-somali.html https://www.fox9.com/news/fraud-minnesota-detailing-nearly-1-billion-schemes https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2005410646603473256 https://x.com/kevinkileyca/status/2006053056660541840 https://x.com/chamath/status/2006087862492582084 https://x.com/C_3C_3/status/2005722313795440956 https://x.com/OliLondonTV/status/2005988021946999166 https://x.com/tomhennessey69/status/2005556784228909441 https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/2005849513676923358 https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2005179409465299219 https://dcyf.mn.gov/programs-directory/child-care-assistance-program https://x.com/susancrabtree/status/2006079778873565541 https://x.com/chamath/status/2005386348169953607 https://x.com/aaronburnett/status/2003874734661161064 https://newsletter.amuseonx.com/p/the-somali-patronage-system-has-taken https://x.com/realdailywire/status/2006122428196442388 https://x.com/rightanglenews/status/2006375449404866720 https://www.auditor.ca.gov/reports/2025-601/
All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special (01:18:19)
(0:00) Intro! (2:47) Tony Hinchcliffe roasts the Besties (15:01) Interview: Kill Tony success, MSG rally, origin story, free speech in Europe (36:03) The Besties play Kill Tony! (50:14) The 2025 Bestie Awards: Business, Politics, Tech, and more Thanks to our partners for making this happen! IREN: https://iren.com OKX: https://okx.com Google Cloud: https://cloud.google.com Follow Tony: https://www.youtube.com/@killtony https://x.com/TonyHinchcliffe Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026 (00:56:58)
(0:00) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins the show (0:55) Recapping 2025 and the state of the economy (3:13) Tariffs: Leverage, legal challenges, implementation (15:20) Affordability: inflation, BLS data, interest rates (23:00) The Fed: biggest mistakes, how we got a 15 year asset bubble, rate cycle, appetite for US debt, Fed Chair candidates (42:44) Focus on Main Street, taking equity stakes in American companies (50:40) Tax cuts, Trump accounts, economic legacy Follow Secretary Bessent: https://x.com/SecScottBessent Referenced in the show: https://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Sp25_Bessent.pdf Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Bernie Sanders: Stop All AI, China's EUV Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026? (01:30:27)
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:19) Bernie Sanders calls for AI datacenter moratorium, how to solve the negative perception of AI (17:15) Anti-AI astroturfing: Is the AI sentiment manufactured by special interests? (32:39) Economy: Unemployment, jobs, inflation, are we primed for a "Golden Age" or not? (51:44) Dog Corner! (59:56) China's major AI breakthrough: lithography, impact on the AI race? (1:19:43) Are the rest of the Besties moving to Texas? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/SenSanders/status/2001057004370948131 https://x.com/RoKhanna/status/2001733168819319167 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2001726037848478000 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2001320789279203694 https://andymasley.substack.com/p/i-cant-find-any-instances-of-data https://www.semafor.com/article/12/07/2025/ai-critics-funded-ai-coverage-at-top-newsrooms https://connecticuthistory.org/ida-tarbell-the-woman-who-took-on-standard-oil/ https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1987238502124409321 https://www.npr.org/2025/12/16/nx-s1-5645023/jobs-employment-labor-market https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/cpi-inflation-breakdown.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 https://www.reuters.com/world/china/how-china-built-its-manhattan-project-rival-west-ai-chips-2025-12-17/ https://www.reuters.com/article/world/uk/trump-administration-pressed-dutch-hard-to-cancel-china-chip-equipment-sale-so-idUSKBN1Z50H4/ https://www.nature.com/articles/s41377-025-01923-w
Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs. Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes (01:38:31)
(0:00) Tucker joins the besties! (4:11) Paramount vs Netflix: bidding war over Warner Bros Discovery (25:40) What's behind the rise of Nick Fuentes and America First? (49:13) Understanding the Anti-AI sentiment (1:21:52) Tucker in 20: Venezuela, Midterm issues, fall of Europe, Qatar, Charlie Kirk investigation, leaving NATO, supporting Israel Follow Tucker: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson Check out Battalion Metals: https://battalionmetals.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/chamath/status/1999139689173749835 https://www.vulture.co/article/netflix-vs-paramount-ownership-warner-bros-discovery.html https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition?tid=1765487045602 https://www.realityslaststand.com/p/the-manufactured-rise-of-nick-fuentes https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1997843165102100528 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS14024887 https://www.wsj.com/business/data-centers-are-a-gold-rush-for-construction-workers-6e3c5ce0
OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line? (01:14:17)
(0:00) Bestie intros (0:12) OpenAI declares "Code Red" as competitors eat away ChatGPT market share (28:14) David Sacks vs. New York Times (51:24) New poverty line, America's slow descent into socialism Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: Sacks's AI waiver: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/David-Sacks.pdf Sacks's Crypto waiver: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Memo-David-Sacks-3.5.2025-1.pdf https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-declares-code-red-combat-threats-chatgpt-delays-ads-effort?rc=f8fu8f https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/19/nvidia-says-no-assurance-of-deal-with-openai-after-100-billion-pact.html https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/technology/david-sacks-white-house-profits.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/23/us/politics/anita-dunn-biden-white-house.html https://www.yesigiveafig.com/p/part-1-my-life-is-a-lie
Molly's Game Uncensored: The Truth Behind the World's Most Infamous Poker Game (00:38:26)
(0:00) Molly Bloom joins the besties live in Las Vegas! (1:48) Did Jason actually play in "Molly's Game"? (3:23) Molly's background, starting the game, getting strong-armed by a famous actor, getting stiffed for $250K and losing the game (16:54) Moving the game to NYC, mob involvement, legal troubles, writing her memoir and making the movie (31:10) Best celebrity poker players, high-stakes poker archetypes, and more (34:31) Sales coaching advice Thanks to Oracle! Join Oracle AI Experience to discover how Oracle is your partner for accelerating your AI journey. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-experience/?source=:ex:sn:::::AllIn&SC=:ex:sn:::::AllIn&pcode= Follow Molly: https://x.com/ImMollyBloom Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom (01:01:53)
(0:00) Bestie intros LIVE from The Venetian Las Vegas (1:13) Epstein Files breakdown (10:06) Biggest Epstein questions: where did his money come from? (14:44) Tether's booming business (23:50) Michael Burry vs. Friedberg, Nvidia's blowout quarter and risks for 2026 (35:25) Google's Gemini 3 and TPU breakthrough (42:51) Investing your own money vs. LP capital, why Friedberg returned as a CEO (48:57) Alan Keating joins the show to talk poker strategy, thriving in chaos, risk psychology Special thanks to The Venetian Las Vegas for hosting us!: https://x.com/VenetianVegas Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/RepClayHiggins/status/1990868089056219267 https://x.com/michaeljburry/status/1991289193037746579 https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025 https://x.com/Similarweb/status/1988879389992386897 https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1987406318832132256
Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth (00:55:05)
(0:00) Michael Burry's big short against AI (12:00) Why Palantir is so richly valued vs other tech companies (20:07) Home affordability crisis: Mortgage innovation, building, top priorities to win mid-terms (36:18) H-1B debate flares up again after Trump's comments on Fox News (42:37) Science Corner: Solar storms, coronal mass ejection, risks (51:14) Rich Americans fleeing "the great confiscation" Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/michaeljburry/status/1988778952299802818 https://x.com/_Investinq/status/1988847716613365845 https://x.com/michaeljburry/status/1987918650104283372 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/realestate/first-time-home-buyers.html https://x.com/jatanackov/status/1988256651103592564 https://x.com/omapproach/status/1988410644907856075 https://x.com/latestinspace/status/1988606899932299700 https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option (01:27:29)
(0:00) Brad Gerstner joins the show! (0:49) OpenAI's rough week: Altman's controversial comments on BG2, CFO's "federal backstop" faux pas, clarifications (18:33) Why Jensen Huang said "China is going to win the AI race."; the need for a federal framework on AI (30:39) OpenAI's strengths and headwinds: breakout product, trust issues, competition, betting on the AI supercycle (36:47) Holiday party announcement! allin.com/events for tickets (39:19) State of the market, consumer is cracking, need for domestic/"main street" wins, is Trump losing the middle class? (1:05:58) Zohran wins NYC, socialism's rise in America, solutions, should Republicans end the filibuster? Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.com/events Follow Brad: https://x.com/altcap Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/alphabet-google-q3-earnings.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/meta-q3-earnings-report-2025.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri https://www.wsj.com/video/openai-wants-federal-backstop-for-new-investments/4F6C864C-7332-448B-A9B4-66C321E60FE7 https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7392049356012507136/ https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1986476840207122440 https://x.com/sama/status/1986514377470845007 https://www.ft.com/content/53295276-ba8d-4ec2-b0de-081e73b3ba43 https://x.com/nvidianewsroom/status/1986221177099194484 https://www.aipanic.news/p/the-ai-existential-risk-industrial https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881600Q https://x.com/MorningBrew/status/1986464568470888935 https://x.com/chamath/status/1986076707196162068 https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-mayoral-election https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/new-york-city-mayor-results https://x.com/JDVance/status/1986099131845136594 https://x.com/houmanhemmati/status/1980499276229931034
Ari Emanuel on the Future of Entertainment: Hollywood, AI, Creator Economy, YouTube vs Netflix (00:27:25)
(0:00) Introducing Ari Emanuel (1:03) Ari's background in the content business and Hollywood (4:14) How infinite distribution is changing Hollywood, the future of podcasting, creators owning advertising products (9:21) AI's impact: anticipating the 3-day workweek (12:13) Splitting time between TKO and WME, YouTube vs Netflix for creators, modern IP ownership (18:20) How he got a fighter's reputation, relationship with Michael Ovitz, how he built on Ovitz's vision (22:12) Future of sports entertainment: adapting to attention spans, clip culture, going global (24:21) Ari's relationship with his brothers and Elon Musk Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Ari: https://x.com/AriEmanuel Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Inside Saudi Arabia's AI Ambition: Tareq Amin on Building a New Tech Superpower (00:29:16)
(0:00) Introducing Tareq Amin (0:39) Saudi Arabia's evolution, Humain's business (8:11) How Humain works with foundational model providers (13:14) Saudi's energy and talent advantages, the AI race in the Middle East (18:11) Working in the era of MBS, Vision 2030 (21:40) How Saudi manages their relationships with the US and China (23:51) Sacks on the US-Saudi AI alliance Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Tareq: https://x.com/TareqAmin_ Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Triple H on WWE's Evolution, the Rise of the Antihero, and the Psychology of Stardom (00:26:05)
(0:00) Introducing Paul "Triple H" Levesque (0:56) The skills needed to be an effective professional wrestler, understanding the characteristics of President Trump and The Rock (5:41) The rise of the antihero / heel persona, and why modern wrestling is more morally grey (8:43) WWE vs UFC: Why they are opposites, star building (11:21) Physicality of the WWE and how they support wrestlers (14:13) The business of the WWE: using streaming and social as a funnel for live events, the magic of live WWE (21:28) Helping America's youth via physical fitness (23:35) How the internet forced wrestlers to blend their in ring personas with real-life Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Triple H: https://x.com/TripleH Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing - Grokipedia (01:33:36)
(0:00) Disgraziad Corner: The most disgraceful things of the week! (3:10) Elon on X's new algorithm, why there has been so much Sydney Sweeney content lately (11:35) Creating Grokipedia: Wikipedia's failures, the future of information on the internet, confirmation bias (24:52) Three years of X: Looking back on the Twitter acquisition and how it changed free speech on the internet (42:49) Tesla vote on Elon's compensation, would he leave Tesla if it doesn't pass? (47:40) OpenAI lawsuit, for-profit conversion, how much Elon should own, OpenAI's great irony (56:24) AI power efficiency, Robotaxis, future of self-driving (1:09:34) Bill Gates flips on climate change, solar, energy production Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028 (01:04:19)
(0:00) Chamath and Jason welcome Pete Buttigieg (1:31) Why the Democrats lost tech (6:40) Taxes: Federal wealth tax, wealth disparity, billionaires, the role of government in the free market (23:17) Government efficiency: Democratic DOGE, breaking ranks on debt, his plan to control spending (33:01) Culture Wars: The costly role of democratic identity politics, navigating a primary with moderate views, the two Democratic Parties (40:07) Immigration: Trump shutting the border, Biden's failure (47:38) Working in the Biden Admin: good and bad, gatekeepers, cognitive decline, anointing Kamala Harris vs running a short primary (52:17) Thoughts on moving NASA under the Dept of Transportation (54:07) AI: self-driving, automation, and job loss (1:01:19) Running in 2028, Mamdani in NYC Follow Pete: https://x.com/PeteButtigieg Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Nobel Peace Prize Winner: María Corina Machado on Defeating Maduro, Socialism & Freeing Venezuela (00:58:19)
(0:00) Friedberg introduces 2025 Nobel Peace Prize Winner María Corina Machado (4:27) Venezuela before and after Chavez (15:25) Why María got involved in politics and why she was expelled (24:33) Why Maduro was chosen and Chavez's successor, China relationship, why people are fleeing (31:27) Intimidation tactics by the Maduro regime, response to claims of her being a "Western puppet" (39:30) Presidential run, election fraud, how different US regimes have viewed Venezuela (54:23) The rise of socialism in the US Follow María: https://x.com/MariaCorinaYA Learn more about the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize: https://www.nobelpeaceprize.org/articles/nobels-fredspris-2025-1 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Nobel Prize in Physics Winner: John Martinis on the State of Quantum (00:49:59)
(0:00) David Friedberg intros John Martinis, the 2025 recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physics (0:43) John's history, how he got into physics (4:54) Explainer on quantum mechanics (22:57) Quantum tunneling and the 1985 paper that led to this Nobel Prize (30:37) Understanding qubits, the state of quantum computing, and the impact of AI (40:56) US vs China in quantum, reactions to winning the Nobel Prize Learn more about the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics: https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/2025/summary Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
NBA Gambling Scandal, Tesla Trillion Dollar Vote, Billionaire Tax, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage (01:24:32)
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:02) CA Billionaire Tax (17:00) Major NBA gambling scandal (29:51) Amazon's eventful week: AWS outage and leaked robotic automation plans (49:55) Tesla earnings, Optimus, Elon's pay package, "corporate terrorists" (1:03:54) Study shows AI bias Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-05-25/rick-caruso-jeffrey-katzenberg-bicker-los-angeles-mayor-election https://www.thefp.com/p/rick-caruso-refuses-to-shake-jeffrey-katzenbergs-hand https://www.latimes.com/la-influential/story/2024-06-16/jeffrey-katzenberg-hollywood-fundraiser-democrats https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/nba-billups-rozier-sports-betting-arrests-gambling.html https://oag.ca.gov/system/files/initiatives/pdfs/25-0024%20%28Billionaire%20Tax%20%29.pdf https://x.com/MovieTimeDev/status/1968107643643498744 https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/10/23/polymarket-seeks-investment-at-valuation-of-usd12b-usd15b-bloomberg https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1981119824991322553 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/technology/inside-amazons-plans-to-replace-workers-with-robots.html https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/business/googles-ai-chatbot-gemini-makes-diverse-images-of-founding-fathers-popes-and-vikings-so-woke-its-unusable/ https://ogletree.com/insights-resources/blog-posts/10-faqs-about-californias-new-algorithmic-discrimination-rules/ https://www.crowell.com/en/insights/client-alerts/artificial-intelligence-in-employment-update-illinois-requires-notice-and-prohibits-discriminatory-impact-in-use-of-ai https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10/23/nyregion/nba-illegal-gambling-arrests https://x.com/AndrewDBailey/status/1981409771505713650 https://seekingalpha.com/article/4832142-tesla-inc-tsla-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1981016949309239616 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/polymarket-is-seeking-funding-at-a-valuation-of-up-to-15-billion https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DKNG:NASDAQ?window=1M https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FLUT:NYSE?window=1M
Joe Manchin on the Fight for America's Future: Term Limits, Bipartisanship & the 2028 Election (01:10:09)
(0:00) Chamath and Jason welcome Senator Joe Manchin! (4:20) Blocking Build Back Better, defending the filibuster while dealing with paid protestors and death threats (19:39) How Biden's staff pushed him to the far left, mental acuity, how he "lost the will to fight," why Obama was an "elusive" president (28:12) Why socialism is on the rise in America, entitlement culture (37:06) Importance of term limits in Congress, Joe's favorite current senators, cascading issues from the loss of bipartisanship (52:25) Breaking the Dem/Rep duopoly by opening up primaries, thoughts on midterms in 2026 (57:18) Expectation vs reality for Obama, Trump and Biden presidencies; thoughts on the 2028 election Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
California Forever: The Startup Building America's Next Great City (00:10:50)
(0:00) Introducing Jan Sramek (0:51) How California Forever is building America's next great city Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Jan: https://x.com/jansramek Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Trump: Send National Guard to SF, China Rare Earths Trade War, AI's PR Crisis (01:16:15)
(0:00) Bestie intros! Dreamforce and another interesting conference take the Bay Area (3:35) State of crime in SF, do they need the National Guard? (20:48) US to impose price floors after China puts export controls on rare earths, can America on-shore a full-stack rare earth industry? (36:15) State of US-China ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting, how we got here, China's elite mercantilism and strong economic history (52:59) AI PR crisis: Recent datacenters get denied Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/us/marc-benioff-san-francisco-guard.html https://www.wsj.com/opinion/san-francisco-cleans-up-for-xi-why-not-for-thee-242c67e3 https://x.com/the_jefferymead/status/1978130345200427334 https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/nualabishari/article/san-francisco-harm-reduction-managed-alcohol-19489131.php https://www.kqed.org/news/11985941/sf-program-isnt-just-free-beer-for-unhoused-its-backed-up-by-research https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/jb-pritzker-won-14-million-vegas-playing-blackjack-rcna237961 https://www.ft.com/content/ca3b3254-e161-41d1-b459-bc3c83004e4e https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/12/business/china-rare-earth-export-controls.html https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115351840469973590 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115350455734003647 https://mpmaterials.com/mountain-pass https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-track-meet-xi-south-korea-bessent-says-2025-10-13/ https://chinapower.csis.org/tracker/china-gdp https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-communist-party-holds-plenum-its-next-five-year-plan-what-does-it-mean-2025-10-15 https://www.economist.com/china/2025/10/09/xi-jinping-is-personally-involved-in-chinas-new-five-year-plan https://www.amazon.com/Lee-Kuan-Yew-Insights-international/dp/0262019124 https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/The-Australian-November-18-2005.pdf https://nationalinterest.org/feature/can-china-rise-peacefully-10204 https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/china-imposes-extraterritorial-jurisdiction-and-50-rule-export-controls-rare-earth https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/commerce-department-issues-affiliates-5215830/ https://www.amazon.com/End-History-Last-Man/dp/0743284550 https://www.amazon.com/Clash-Civilizations-Remaking-World-Order/dp/1451628978 https://www.amazon.com/World-Flat-History-Twenty-first-Century/dp/0374292884 https://x.com/balajis/status/1937517664907460980 https://x.com/chamath/status/1978584886329082098 https://www.datacenterwatch.org/report https://x.com/chamath/status/1977794775148601541
1929 vs 2025: Andrew Ross Sorkin on Crashes, Bubbles & Lessons Learned (00:50:49)
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Andrew Ross Sorkin to discuss his new book, "1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History--and How It Shattered a Nation" (0:38) Why he chose this time period (3:22) The setup: what led to the 1929 crash (19:24) The characters: major players in the 1929 crash; what kind of bubble are we experiencing in 2025? (26:21) Role of journalist vs market participant; characters of the 2025 market (30:10) AI's potential 1929-like impact on unemployment (35:16) Why socialism is flaring up now more than it did post-1929 (40:34) Does the US need a 2025 "New Deal" on cutting spending, tariff balancing act (46:51) Film rights strategy Buy Sorkin's new book: https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966 Follow Andrew Ross Sorkin: https://x.com/andrewrsorkin Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966 https://archive.org/details/sim_ladies-home-journal_1929-08_46_8/page/n9/mode/2up
How Orlando Bravo Built One of the Most Successful Firms in Private Equity (00:28:57)
(0:00) Introducing Orlando Bravo (1:53) Orlando's history, Puerto Rico origins, how he got into private equity (7:10) How he runs Thoma Bravo: small team, outward facing, mentorship, patience in fundraising (9:01) Role of PE in the American economy, public perception, underwriting AI risks (15:23) Deal pricing philosophy, acquiring Boeing's avionics business (19:24) Thoma Bravo's operating playbook after acquiring a company (26:16) Thoughts on taking Thoma Bravo public Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Orlando Bravo: https://x.com/orlandobravotb Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Bryan Johnson: The #1 Longevity Secret You Can Start Doing Today (00:10:39)
(0:00) Introducing Bryan Johnson (0:46) Bryan takes the audience through a quick biological age test (5:53) The single best longevity hack from all of his research Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Bryan Johnson: https://x.com/bryan_johnson Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon's Trillion-Dollar Pay Package (00:19:15)
(0:00) Introducing Cathie Wood (0:47) Cathie Wood on AI's once in a lifetime opportunity: doubling GDP, deflation, and more (9:23) Cathie's bull case for Bitcoin $1M (11:38) Opening up access to innovation for retail (14:32) Cathie explains Ark's strategies for bull and bear markets (16:01) Thoughts on Elon's trillion-dollar pay package Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Cathie Wood: https://x.com/cathiedwood Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg
